Now that I'm short USO, I'm noticing that there's a direct correlation between the equity and the oil market. Well, only in reverse. Whenever the oil rises, S&P would dip and vice versa. It's downright stupid considering that the equity market didn't panic when the oil broke above $100. Why is it freaking out now?
So far, S&P is trading in lockstep with the oil market (check out USO). At some point, however, the market will need to step back and say "screw you, it's my way or highway!"
It looks like the highway is what they'll choose and it's going to raise some nasty eyebrows from the bull camp.
Currently, the Spooz is testing the SMA(50) on the 5-minute chart. Will it stay afloat? If it slips and fall from here, it's gonna be one long highway down to hell.
My rationale that we'll go lower into the close is that for the last two days the bulls pushed up the equity market as soon as the oil market closed shop. Now the latecomers will come rushing in to exploit the same pattern, but it's usually at this time when the big boys usually opt for the crash and burn method.
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