dtajgroup
5 posts
msg #88376
- Ignore dtajgroup |
2/18/2010 5:16:36 PM
The Market we are in Highly Correlates to the 1937 to 1942 Stock Market !!!!
We need to work together over the next 2 to 4 Weeks to develop a system for this Market. THIS IS NO JOKE.
PREDICTION : The market will make a NEW closing high before the end of March 2010. Wave 4 just finished 1 week ago and
we just finished the first LEG up of Wave 5 today or tomorrow at the lastest. Leg 2 down should end aroung March 1,2010. Next
Leg up #3 should take us to new highs by middle of march.
(1) So far the RSI(2) systems seem to be the best so far.
Lets work together so everyone will benefit.
Regards,
David Mc
(Jesus is Lord !)
|
campbellb75
101 posts
msg #88380
- Ignore campbellb75 |
2/18/2010 6:35:21 PM
Tell us about your returns in the 1937 - 1942 market?
|
dtajgroup
5 posts
msg #88381
- Ignore dtajgroup |
2/18/2010 6:39:31 PM
Please serious replies only. We need to help out each other.
|
dickysofa
63 posts
msg #88383
- Ignore dickysofa |
2/18/2010 6:47:15 PM
http://www.elliottwave.com/
|
karennma
8,057 posts
msg #88393
- Ignore karennma |
2/18/2010 10:25:45 PM
Here's a "serious" reply ...
"New" highs??? Ha!!
I have my doubts. The market is already up 60% from it's March '09 low.
LOOK AT THE CHART BELOW of 1937 to 1943.
It's NOT pretty!
"Waves" and all, with E-W explanations ..
1937 - 1943 HERE
|
karennma
8,057 posts
msg #88395
- Ignore karennma |
2/18/2010 10:40:22 PM
If anyone knows HOW to do this ....
Please OVERLAY a chart of the DOW from 10-15-07 to present with previous chart I posted (1937-1942) above.
Yes, there are similarities ... mainly, we've already advanced 60% ... just like 1938.. !!
G*d help us if we repeat 1939 to 1942. (down 42% )
|
karennma
8,057 posts
msg #88396
- Ignore karennma |
2/18/2010 10:52:39 PM
actually it's 64% ... just like 1938!!
|
Venice
82 posts
msg #88427
- Ignore Venice |
2/19/2010 5:27:36 PM
My scans have been returning a lot of consolidation stocks this week and last.... General market for me seems to be trading sideways.
|
Walid
130 posts
msg #88433
- Ignore Walid |
2/19/2010 9:37:58 PM
I am not an Elliotician and I can’t argue one way or another based on Elliot wave counting. But it seems to me that the market is in its way to develop a Head and Shoulder pattern. For S&P, the RS should be completed in the 1,120.00 area. With that said, let’s not forget the failed Head and Shoulder back in July. Also I don’t think that some similarities between the current charts and those from 30-40s does necessary mean that they will have the same fate and trace the same footsteps. Personally, I stopped trying to predict the long term market direction for now. The days will come again when doing this is both possible and profitable but for now I think there is too much irrationality in the markets. I was dead wrong, despite having the logic and fundamentals on my side, on evaluating the strength and the momentum of the last March uptrend. I got on almost every counter trend move hoping to ride it all the way back down. My net profit is a mediocre percentage of what I would have made if I just kept my brain shut and traded the price actions instead of my personal opinion of how the price should act. Currently, I am evaluating my positions daily and trade what I see not what I think. I got long S&P after the Hammer on 02/05. A reliable reversal pattern was confirmed by bouncing off the 200 EMA in relatively strong support area. IMHO, this was good enough buy signal. I am still in and will sell only when the chart gives me a technical signal to get out. This works for me for now.
|
Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #88438
- Ignore Eman93 |
2/19/2010 11:17:28 PM
Nice trade Wallid... we may be on our way to making the right sholder or even a double top... the MA(50) is putting up some resistance.
Trade what you see... its not that easy for me either, I tend to think my way out of good trades all the time.
Thats why a good system helps.... be like the rat.
If A+B+C happens then do D
|